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The U.S. Election Heats Up: How Will Global Asset Trends Change with Market Pricing for a Trump Victory?
Since October, Trump has surged in the polls, leading to a rapid shift in global market sentiment. Trading strategies are gradually switching to bets on the election outcome. As the U.S. election enters its final showdown phase, the market seems to be picking up increasingly clear signals, with “smart money” significantly pricing in a tilt towards Trump.
The market is placing real bets on a Trump victory.
On Tuesday, shares of the well-known “Trump-related stock,” Trump Media Group, surged another 8.76% following a 21.59% increase on Monday, bringing the total rise since October to 220.54%. Additionally, the KBW Regional Banking Index has risen by 10% over the past month, significantly outpacing the broader market, reflecting the market’s strong confidence in Trump-related assets.
The U.S. dollar and Treasury yields are also showing signs of the “Trump trade.” Currently, the dollar index has surged to the 104-105 range, rising for the fourth consecutive week, putting pressure on non-U.S. currencies. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury has rebounded from previous lows to 4.24%, an increase of 48 basis points since the end of September.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin has become one of the core assets of the “Trump trade” due to Trump’s support for cryptocurrencies. On October 30, Bitcoin broke through the $73,000 mark for the first time in seven months, just 0.2% away from its all-time high. Data shows that since October, U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs have attracted over $3 billion in net inflows, indicating strong institutional buying.
Total Net Inflows for Bitcoin Spot ETFs
In recent weeks, the strengthening dollar, rising Treasury yields, and the strong performance of the banking and cryptocurrency sectors—these direct “Trump-related stocks”—have shown robust gains. The market is betting real money on the expectation that Trump will win.
Impact of Trump’s Election on Major Asset Prices
As the U.S. election intensifies, expectations for Trump’s victory are growing, prompting the market to bet on the potential impacts of his policies on different asset classes. The economic effects of Trump’s policies could lead to stark differentiation among major assets, altering the global economic landscape.
- Strengthening Dollar
Trump’s policy proposals include raising tariffs and cutting taxes, which are expected to increase inflation expectations. This could make the Federal Reserve more cautious about lowering interest rates, thereby supporting a stronger dollar. Currently, the U.S. economic fundamentals are robust, particularly with high employment rates and moderate inflation, providing strong support for the dollar. It is anticipated that the dollar will continue to strengthen in the global foreign exchange market. - Cyclical and Technology Sectors Likely to Dominate U.S. Stocks
The market is generally optimistic about Trump’s potential boost to U.S. stocks. With a relatively strong U.S. economy, Trump’s emphasis on tax cuts and deregulation is expected to enhance corporate profits and consumer spending. The cyclical and technology sectors are likely to be key focuses for investors. Supported by macro factors such as fiscal expansion, strong demand in the AI sector, and global capital reallocation, the medium to long-term outlook for U.S. stocks appears more attractive.
Historically, U.S. stocks tend to rise in election years. For example, after Trump’s victory in the 2016 election, expansionary policies led to a rapid rebound in the S&P 500, providing a historical reference for this year’s U.S. stock trends.
- Commodity Demand May Face Adjustments
Compared to the Democrats, the Republican energy policy tends to support traditional energy industries. Trump’s election could lead to a relaxation of restrictions on fossil fuels, promoting the expansion of the oil and gas industry, which might suppress oil prices in the medium to long-term. The likelihood of escalating tensions in the Middle East has diminished, and expectations of declining oil demand due to a slowing global economy could lead to short-term fluctuations and weakness in oil prices.
Meanwhile, the gold market has continued to strengthen at high levels, having already incorporated significant safe-haven and anti-inflation demand within the framework of Trump’s policies. This has somewhat diverged from the fundamental support levels based on the dollar and real interest rates. If uncertainty decreases after the election, gold prices may face downward pressure.
- Bitcoin Set for a New Bull Run
The cycle of this year’s U.S. election closely aligns with the cycle of Bitcoin. Trump’s favorable stance toward the crypto market, along with his deep involvement in various crypto activities and related products, has generated excitement, especially his declaration to “make Bitcoin a strategic reserve for the U.S.” A Trump victory would be highly beneficial for the crypto space, leading to a new bull run for Bitcoin, and the influence of crypto assets in the global market is expected to reach new heights.
Conclusion
The current “Trump trade” is profoundly affecting global asset pricing. Regardless of the final outcome of the election, the global market will face an unprecedented opportunity for asset revaluation.
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BYD Opens New Branch in Bristol and Warwick, UK, Marking a Milestone in Electric Vehicle Expansion
UK, 16th December 2024 – BYD, the world’s leading manufacturer of new energy vehicles (NEVs), has officially opened its new branches in Bristol and Warwick, marking a significant milestone in its expansion across the UK. The new branches will bring BYD’s advanced electric vehicle products and services to local consumers.
Following the successful operations of the Canary Wharf flagship store and Lakeside branch, the openings in Bristol and Warwick further extend BYD’s presence in the UK, allowing even more consumers to experience the brand’s innovative technology and sustainable mobility solutions.
The grand opening attracted a host of notable guests, including key figures from business, finance, culture, and media, alongside a warm reception from the local Chinese community. As a global leader in electric mobility, BYD continues to champion technological innovation and environmental sustainability, earning the trust of consumers worldwide. The openings of Bristol and Warwick not only broadens BYD’s brand influence in the UK but also offers customers greater access to electric vehicle purchases and aftersales services.
At the opening event of South Bristol, Adam Harkins, Head of Network Development of BYD UK, emphasised the company’s commitment to driving the transformation of the automotive industry through electrification and intelligent technology. He said, “The opening of our new branch in Bristol marks a significant step in expanding our presence in the UK. It’s not only a milestone in our growth but also an important move towards making green and sustainable mobility more accessible to consumers across the region.”
Geetan Jessen, General Manager of Harmony BYD UK, added, “We’re excited to see the Bristol branch opening as it offers more UK customers the chance to embrace eco-friendly transport solutions. This also strengthens BYD’s position as a leader in the global electric vehicle industry.”
During the ceremony, Sing Cheung, Branch Manager of Harmony BYD Bristol, shared insights into the current status and future plans for the Bristol branch, as well as offering a detailed introduction to the models currently available. He highlighted the new vehicles on display, along with the range of services available at the branch, introducing how the team is committed to providing exceptional customer care and ensuring a seamless experience for all visitors.
( The photo shows, from top to bottom: Adam Harkins, Head of Network Development of BYD UK, Geetan Jessen, General Manager of Harmony BYD UK, Sing Cheung, Branch Manager of Harmony BYD Bristol )
The opening of the Bristol and Warwick branches further expands BYD’s presence in the UK market. New branches are strategically located in key retail hubs, and areas with a concentration of automotive brands, attracting numerous consumers interested in eco-friendly mobility, technological innovation, and sustainable transport solutions. Inside the store, customers will have the opportunity to explore a variety of BYD’s popular electric models, including the highly anticipated BYD SEAL, BYD DOLPHIN, BYD ATTO 3, and the newly launched BYD SEAL U DM-i. to learn more about the benefits of electric vehicles and BYD’s latest technological advancements in the EV sector.
New branches also offer a wide range of services, including spacious showrooms, test drive areas, and professional aftersales centres, allowing customers to thoroughly experience the vehicles’ performance and features. Each branch is equipped with advanced multimedia interactive facilities, enabling customers to easily explore vehicle functions and enjoy the driving pleasure and convenience of BYD’s leading-edge technology. BYD’s dedicated sales and service teams are committed to delivering an exceptional customer experience, demonstrating the brand’s commitment to fulfilling consumer needs at every stage.
The opening of the Bristol and Warwick branches is the result of a successful collaboration between BYD and its long-standing partner, Harmony Auto. Following the successful openings of the Canary Wharf and Lakeside branches, this partnership continues to showcase BYD’s expanding influence in the UK market and the growing consumer interest in electric vehicles.
Harmony Auto is actively working to extend BYD’s sales network across the UK, with plans to open new branches in locations such as Oxford, Romford, and Cambridge in the near future. This expansion is a clear indication of both Harmony Auto and BYD’s determination and long-term strategy within the UK market.
BYD is driving the sustainable transport through continuous technological innovation, providing UK consumers with more eco-friendly and efficient mobility options. In the years ahead, BYD will continue to strengthen its presence in the UK, contributing to the country’s environmental objectives and vision for intelligent transportation.
About BYD
BYD is a multinational high-tech company devoted to leveraging technological innovations for a better life. Founded in 1995 as a rechargeable battery maker, BYD now boasts a diverse business scope covering automobiles, rail transit, new energy, and electronics, with over 30 industrial parks in China, the United States, Canada, Japan, Thailand, Brazil, Hungary, Uzbekistan, and India. From energy generation and storage to its applications, BYD is dedicated to providing zero-emission energy solutions that reduce global reliance on fossil fuels. Its new energy vehicle footprint now covers 6 continents, over 90 countries and regions. Listed in both Hong Kong and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges, the company is known to be a Fortune Global 500 enterprise that furnishes innovations in pursuit of a greener world.
About BYD Europe
BYD Europe is headquartered in the Netherlands and is the first overseas branch of the BYD Group, with a commitment to deliver safe and efficient sustainable solutions in new energy vehicles through world-leading technological innovations.
For more information, please visit www.byd.com.
About Harmony Auto
China Harmony Auto Holding Limited (03836.HK) is a leading comprehensive automobile dealership group in China, listed on the Main Board of Hong Kong since 2013. The company specializes in the sale of luxury and ultra-luxury vehicles and is expanding into the global ·market for intelligent new energy vehicle services. Harmony Auto is committed to providing customers with efficient, convenient, and high-quality travel experiences that promote harmony between people and vehicles.
In 2023, Harmony Auto entered into a strategic partnership with BYD, a global leader in intelligent new energy vehicles. Currently, Harmony Auto successfully operates several new energy vehicle sales and service outlets in Hong Kong, Southeast Asia, Australia, Japan, and other Asia-Pacific regions and countries. The company is also expanding its presence in European countries such as the UK and France. Harmony Auto plans to further expand its market reach to more regions and countries, providing intelligent and green travel services locally, and contributing to global energy conservation, emission reduction, and sustainable green development.
Contact:
Europe: Penny Peng, Director Marketing and PR, PressEU@byd.com tel: +31-102070888
News
Film Critic Limited Set to Go Public: Capital Markets Show Strong Interest, Many Equity-Holding Employees Achieve Financial Freedom
Film Critic Limited, a leading film review and rating organization in the UK and Europe, has announced its plans for an Initial Public Offering (IPO). Since the announcement, the capital market has shown significant interest, with the company’s IPO valuation expected to exceed £5 billion.
Cinema, a universal art form that transcends borders and cultures, has become an integral part of people’s lives worldwide. Beyond entertainment, it fosters emotional resonance, social reflection, and cultural exchange. With the advent of the digital era, viewing habits have expanded from traditional cinemas to online platforms like Netflix, accelerating the growth of the film industry. In this context, Film Critic Limited has established itself as a bridge between audiences and cinema through professional reviews and market analysis. By highlighting the deeper value of films, the company promotes in-depth dialogue and broad dissemination of cinematic art.
Film Critic Limited’s global presence gives it a unique position in the multicultural, cross-regional film review network. The company builds a rich and diverse film review system to provide comprehensive and detailed analysis of films from different cultural perspectives and social backgrounds. This strategy not only enables Film Critic to cooperate with producers in different regions, but also enhances its competitiveness in the film review industry.
Furthermore, Film Critic Limited’s partnerships with major film giants, such as Universal Pictures, underscore the pivotal role of film reviews in determining a movie’s success. From rating recommendations on digital viewing platforms to in-depth analyses by professional critics, these reviews open new markets and infuse fresh vitality into the industry.
On platforms such as Rotten Tomatoes, Metacritic, and IMDb, Film Critic Limited’s reviews have made significant contributions to film marketing, influencing the viewing choices of audiences worldwide. The company’s professional reviews and rating system have become a vital benchmark in the global film industry.
The IPO of Film Critic Limited also indicates the amplification of growth potential. Market analysts predict that with its reputation and achievements in the industry and the focus of the capital market, Film Critic Limited’s share price will rise rapidly by 30%-50% after its listing, and its market value will reach 5 billion pounds.
According to reports, approximately 25% of Film Critic Limited’s equity is allocated to its employee stock ownership plan (ESOP). Based on the projected IPO valuation, the value of this employee equity could exceed £1 billion. This means that many early employees stand to gain substantial financial returns, benefiting significantly from the company’s development.
Additionally, Film Critic Limited plans to initiate its first round of internal employee equity buybacks in the first quarter of 2025. This initiative will not only provide employees with flexible liquidity options but also enhance their enthusiasm for participating in the company’s growth. If successfully implemented, this strategy could position Film Critic Limited as a new model of wealth creation in the internet sector, comparable to iconic cases like Google and Facebook, where employee stock ownership programs have enabled significant financial freedom for staff.
In the evolution of the internet industry, many fortunate individuals have achieved financial freedom by making the right choices. David Risher, an early employee of Amazon, and Andrew Bosworth, Facebook’s Chief Engineer, are names that became widely recognized after their respective companies went public. Their stories exemplify how wise decisions at critical moments can lead to immense wealth. As their companies’ valuations grew, so did their fortunes, with their equity holdings increasing to tens of millions of dollars.
Similarly, Film Critic Limited has the potential to become a cradle for future millionaires. With the company’s upcoming IPO, employees and early collaborators have the chance to reap substantial rewards by holding company shares or contributing during pivotal moments of growth. Like David Risher and Andrew Bosworth, their wealth could see significant appreciation as Film Critic’s market value rises. For those who joined early and played an active role in the company’s development, this represents an exceptional opportunity to achieve financial freedom and create substantial wealth.
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XDS Announces Major Investment of UCI Astana Team, Paving the Way for Global Expansion
Shenzhen, China — XDS, a leading bicycle brand in the Chinese market, is excited to announce its major investment in the prestigious UCI WorldTeam Astana. This historic move makes XDS solidifying the brand’s ambitions to expand its footprint in the global cycling community. As part of this agreement, the team will be rebranded as the XDS Astana Team, marking a new era for both the team and the brand.
XDS’ Investment in the Astana Team
In a landmark investment, XDS has secured major strategic partner of the Astana team, one of the most storied names in professional cycling. Founded in 2006, the Astana team has achieved remarkable success, including multiple Grand Tour victories, podium finishes in iconic races such as the Tour de France, Giro d’Italia, and Vuelta a España, and nurturing some of cycling’s most celebrated athletes, such as Alberto Contador, Vincenzo Nibali, and Mark Cavendish. The team has a legacy of excellence in world-class cycling competitions.
Now under XDS’s investment, the Astana team will benefit from the brand’s advanced engineering capabilities, cutting-edge bicycle technology, and strong financial backing. This investment represents a significant step for XDS as it positions itself as a key player in the international cycling arena, helping propel the team to even greater success in the years ahead.
Rebranding to XDS Astana Team
Following the investment, the Astana team will officially be rebranded as the XDS Astana Team. This strategic name change signals a new chapter in the team’s history, with XDS becoming a general partner in the team’s operations and ambitions. The new XDS Astana Team will continue to compete at the highest level of professional cycling, representing the Chinese innovation and manufacture in the international cycling community.
XDS, a leader in high-performance bicycles, has already made significant strides in China and will leverage its strong presence in Asia and Europe and growing global recognition to boost the visibility of the newly rebranded XDS Astana Team.
XDS’s Premium brand X-LAB to Equip the Team
In line with the rebranding, the XDS Astana Team will now race with bicycles and equipment from XDS’s premium brand, X-LAB. X-LAB is known for its precision engineering and cutting-edge technology, offering products that blend performance with innovation. From lightweight carbon frames to highly responsive components, X-LAB products are designed for the highest levels of competition, enabling athletes to reach their full potential.
XDS’s commitment to excellence in bike design and engineering will undoubtedly enhance the performance of the XDS Astana Team, ensuring that the riders have every possible advantage in their pursuit of victory on the world’s biggest stages.
Global Expansion Strategy
The major investment of the Astana team is not only a major step for XDS in the world of professional cycling but also an integral part of the company’s broader strategy to expand into international markets. XDS has long been a leader in China’s bicycle market, and now, with the XDS Astana Team, the company is ready to take its next big leap.
This investment will also help the brand expand its reach into Europe and other key markets, strengthening its presence in the competitive cycling world and creating new opportunities for growth. The partnership with the XDS Astana Team is a powerful statement of XDS’s ambition to become a global leader in the cycling industry.
About XDS and X-LAB
XDS is a premier Chinese brand specializing in the design, manufacture, and development of high-performance bicycles. Founded in 1995, the company has become one of China’s most recognized bicycle manufacturers, known for its innovative designs and commitment to quality. XDS has made a name for itself in both the road and mountain bike segments, offering a wide range of products that cater to competitive cyclists, enthusiasts, and everyday riders.
X-LAB, the premium brand from XDS, represents XDS’s commitment to top-tier performance, offering state-of-the-art technology and design for elite athletes and cycling professionals. By the investment in the Astana team, XDS is taking the next step in its evolution as a global player in the cycling world.
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