Since October, Trump has surged in the polls, leading to a rapid shift in global market sentiment. Trading strategies are gradually switching to bets on the election outcome. As the U.S. election enters its final showdown phase, the market seems to be picking up increasingly clear signals, with “smart money” significantly pricing in a tilt towards Trump.

The market is placing real bets on a Trump victory.

On Tuesday, shares of the well-known “Trump-related stock,” Trump Media Group, surged another 8.76% following a 21.59% increase on Monday, bringing the total rise since October to 220.54%. Additionally, the KBW Regional Banking Index has risen by 10% over the past month, significantly outpacing the broader market, reflecting the market’s strong confidence in Trump-related assets.

The U.S. dollar and Treasury yields are also showing signs of the “Trump trade.” Currently, the dollar index has surged to the 104-105 range, rising for the fourth consecutive week, putting pressure on non-U.S. currencies. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury has rebounded from previous lows to 4.24%, an increase of 48 basis points since the end of September.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin has become one of the core assets of the “Trump trade” due to Trump’s support for cryptocurrencies. On October 30, Bitcoin broke through the $73,000 mark for the first time in seven months, just 0.2% away from its all-time high. Data shows that since October, U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFs have attracted over $3 billion in net inflows, indicating strong institutional buying.

Total Net Inflows for Bitcoin Spot ETFs

In recent weeks, the strengthening dollar, rising Treasury yields, and the strong performance of the banking and cryptocurrency sectors—these direct “Trump-related stocks”—have shown robust gains. The market is betting real money on the expectation that Trump will win.

Impact of Trump’s Election on Major Asset Prices

As the U.S. election intensifies, expectations for Trump’s victory are growing, prompting the market to bet on the potential impacts of his policies on different asset classes. The economic effects of Trump’s policies could lead to stark differentiation among major assets, altering the global economic landscape.

1. Strengthening Dollar
   Trump’s policy proposals include raising tariffs and cutting taxes, which are expected to increase inflation expectations. This could make the Federal Reserve more cautious about lowering interest rates, thereby supporting a stronger dollar. Currently, the U.S. economic fundamentals are robust, particularly with high employment rates and moderate inflation, providing strong support for the dollar. It is anticipated that the dollar will continue to strengthen in the global foreign exchange market.
2. Cyclical and Technology Sectors Likely to Dominate U.S. Stocks
   The market is generally optimistic about Trump’s potential boost to U.S. stocks. With a relatively strong U.S. economy, Trump’s emphasis on tax cuts and deregulation is expected to enhance corporate profits and consumer spending. The cyclical and technology sectors are likely to be key focuses for investors. Supported by macro factors such as fiscal expansion, strong demand in the AI sector, and global capital reallocation, the medium to long-term outlook for U.S. stocks appears more attractive.

Historically, U.S. stocks tend to rise in election years. For example, after Trump’s victory in the 2016 election, expansionary policies led to a rapid rebound in the S&P 500, providing a historical reference for this year’s U.S. stock trends.

1. Commodity Demand May Face Adjustments
   Compared to the Democrats, the Republican energy policy tends to support traditional energy industries. Trump’s election could lead to a relaxation of restrictions on fossil fuels, promoting the expansion of the oil and gas industry, which might suppress oil prices in the medium to long-term. The likelihood of escalating tensions in the Middle East has diminished, and expectations of declining oil demand due to a slowing global economy could lead to short-term fluctuations and weakness in oil prices.

Meanwhile, the gold market has continued to strengthen at high levels, having already incorporated significant safe-haven and anti-inflation demand within the framework of Trump’s policies. This has somewhat diverged from the fundamental support levels based on the dollar and real interest rates. If uncertainty decreases after the election, gold prices may face downward pressure.

1. Bitcoin Set for a New Bull Run
   The cycle of this year’s U.S. election closely aligns with the cycle of Bitcoin. Trump’s favorable stance toward the crypto market, along with his deep involvement in various crypto activities and related products, has generated excitement, especially his declaration to “make Bitcoin a strategic reserve for the U.S.” A Trump victory would be highly beneficial for the crypto space, leading to a new bull run for Bitcoin, and the influence of crypto assets in the global market is expected to reach new heights.

Conclusion
The current “Trump trade” is profoundly affecting global asset pricing. Regardless of the final outcome of the election, the global market will face an unprecedented opportunity for asset revaluation.

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A New Milestone for UQPAY

UQPAY is proud to announce its recent approval as a Principal Member of Mastercard for acquiring business, marking a significant milestone in our journey to enhance digital payment solutions globally. This prestigious status not only underscores UQPAY’s commitment to maintaining the highest standards of service and security in the financial industry, but also positions us at the forefront of payment innovations.

As a Principal Member of Mastercard, UQPAY will now be able to directly acquire merchants and provide them with access to Mastercard’s global payment network. This direct relationship enhances our ability to offer tailored, flexible payment solutions that cater to the diverse needs of businesses in Singapore. Merchants partnering with UQPAY can look forward to a range of benefits that will transform their transaction capabilities and open new opportunities for growth.

Benefits for Merchants

• Enhanced Payment Security: Leveraging Mastercard’s cutting-edge security technologies, UQPAY will offer merchants robust protection against fraud and payment disruptions, ensuring that every transaction is secure.
• Global Reach, Local Service: Through Mastercard’s international network, merchants can effortlessly reach overseas customers while enjoying localized support from UQPAY. This dual advantage is crucial for businesses aiming to grow without borders.
• Customized Payment Solutions: UQPAY’s newfound status as a Principal Member allows for more flexible and innovative payment solutions, tailored to meet the specific needs of our merchants. Whether it’s simplifying mobile payments or integrating multi-currency transactions, UQPAY is equipped to handle it all.
• Streamlined Operations: Merchants will benefit from streamlined operations and reduced processing times, making it easier than ever to manage their finances and improve cash flow.
• Expert Insights and Support: UQPAY’s dedicated team of payment experts is committed to supporting merchants in navigating the complexities of global commerce. Our team will provide insights, advice, and continuous support tailored to help businesses thrive.

A Future of Possibilities

This collaboration between UQPAY and Mastercard represents more than just a business advancement. It signifies a leap towards the future of commerce, where efficiency, security, and customer satisfaction are paramount. We are excited to embark on this journey, enhancing the payment experiences of our merchants and their customers around the globe.

For current and prospective merchants, this development means access to a world-class payment infrastructure backed by the trust and reliability of Mastercard. We invite businesses of all sizes to join us in reaping the benefits of this new era of payment solutions.

Stay connected with UQPAY as we continue to innovate and lead in the delivery of premier digital payment solutions. Together, we are setting new standards in the world of transactions, paving the way for a seamless, secure, and prosperous future for all our partners.

ABOUT UQPAY:

Grow Your Business Borderlessly
UQPAY is a one-stop global digital payment solution provider headquartered in Singapore, with branches in multiple locations worldwide. Since 2017, UQPAY has been delivering seamlessly integrated, one-stop solutions designed for global application, adhering to the highest industry standards for security. UQPAY holds several financial licenses, including the Major Payment Institution (MPI) License issued by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) and the Money Services Business (MSB) license in the United States. Additionally, UQPAY is a member of the Singapore FinTech Association and has been recognized as one of Singapore’s Top 500 Most Successful SMEs.

Contact UQPAY
UQPAY Website: https://uqpay.com/
UQPAY Twitter: https://x.com/UQPAYSG
UQPAY PTE. LTD.
9 North Buona Vista Drive, #02-01, Metropolis Tower 1, Singapore 138588
Phone: +65 8328 0868

Email: bd@uqpay.com

Momcozy, the global leader in maternal and baby products, proudly unveiled its newest innovation, the DinerPal High Chair, at the Harrogate Nursery Fair 2024. This prestigious event, renowned for showcasing cutting-edge nursery products, provided the perfect platform for Momcozy to introduce its latest innovations to industry experts, buyers, and parents from around the world.

Showcasing a Wide Range of Momcozy Products

During the exhibition, Momcozy showcased a comprehensive collection of its top-selling products, demonstrating its commitment to supporting mothers through every stage of motherhood. Among the featured items was the Momcozy Ergonest Maternity Belly Band, known for its 3D molding and seamless support, providing essential comfort during pregnancy. Visitors to the Momcozy booth were introduced to an array of pregnancy essentials, breastfeeding solutions, and baby gear, including:

• The Momcozy M5 Wearable Breast Pump – a hands-free, discreet solution for on-the-go mothers.
• The Momcozy U-shaped Pregnancy Pillow – offering unparalleled comfort during pregnancy
• Ultra Soft and Omni Maternity Nursing Bra-YN21 – designed for both function and style.
• Momcozy Portable Baby Bottle Warmer – tailored for daily outings

Spotlight on DinerPal High Chair

At the forefront of Momcozy’s display was the DinerPal High Chair, an exemplary product designed to redefine comfort, functionality, and longevity in child seating. Engineered to grow with your child, the DinerPal offers an innovative 5-in-1 seating system that seamlessly transitions from a baby set to a full adult chair, supporting up to 308 lbs. This exceptional versatility makes it a lifelong companion for families, providing ergonomic support at every stage of development.

The DinerPal High Chair stands out not only for its adaptability but also for its meticulous focus on safety and user-friendly design. Equipped with a secure five-point harness, a robust triangular frame, and non-slip silicone rubber feet, the chair provides unparalleled stability and peace of mind for parents. Its spacious, dishwasher-safe tray is compatible with most suction bowls, while the chair’s easy-to-clean, wipeable surfaces and machine-washable harness ensure effortless maintenance—perfect for today’s busy families.

Empowering Vision for Mothers

Momcozy’s debut at the Harrogate Nursery Fair 2024 was more than just a showcase—it was a powerful step forward in the brand’s mission to empower mothers around the world. By introducing its innovative and thoughtfully designed products to a global audience, Momcozy reaffirmed its commitment to making motherhood easier, more comfortable, and more fulfilling.

As Momcozy looks to the future, its vision remains clear: to continue championing mothers with innovative, life-enhancing products that bring ease, comfort, and empowerment to every aspect of their journey. By staying true to this mission, Momcozy is not just shaping the future of maternal care; it’s reshaping how mothers around the world experience and embrace the beauty of motherhood.

For media inquiries, please contact: pr@momcozy.com

About Momcozy

Momcozy is a global mother and baby brand, serving over 3 million mothers in more than 60 countries and regions. Since 2018, we’ve evolved to meet the unique needs of moms and their families, offering a range of products from pregnancy through early motherhood. As the Cozy Reformer, we always put moms first, delivering innovative solutions, comfort, and support to bring joy and ease to their journeys.